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The What if.... Campaign

Opinion 
By Mark T , guest writing for Croglog 
email us mychiller@inbox.com  
   The Political Season , has it's conventions and the debates are about to start  we've had this long period of candidates  attacking and promising.   We suffer under the political ads that torture on TV, Radio and internet.  We make the joke that politicians  lie , and that they probably do.
   What if a politician ran a campaign differently ? How ? You may be asking.  Many campaigns are built on promises  , " When ( Very confident) I am elected president i will ....(insert something here)". 3 things usually happen if that person wins , a. they work on the promise, b, they forget about it  c, they try it and it fails.  Most of the time B happens the most.  Let's say I would do it more like this  "When you elect me your President I will work hard on trying to get ... (insert something here) , it may not happen but there's nothing wrong with trying." It's the truth that sometimes a promise by a president can fall short, yet still showing positivity   for something that may not happen.
   Campaigns get dirty . We are used to these attack ads on TV where the deep voice says for example "  This Candidate  caused  the  great tuna disaster when they were  governor of tuna ( this is just an example people)  would you vote for this person because  he caused thousands of people to  be injured by defective cans?" Attacking the other candidate is what always happens , dig up their past  try to relate it to the future. " This Governor caused his state to have  a deficit think what he will do to the country"  That kind of thing , trying to make you think "Hey, if he can't run a state how can he run a country?" Most cases attacks are  the candidate wanting you to like them more than the other person. What they are really saying is " I told my dear mother when I was 8 , I want to be president of the United States. I should be the President"  That would probably be the honest thing to say. Attacking the other candidate is really like other adverting.  " Joe's Fords has more Fords at better prices than Jim's Fords". They both are selling Fords but  Joe's wants you to come to them and makes Jim's not look that good.    Human Emotion is what you play with.  What if , campaign  has not figured out away to get rid of attacks , many candidates have tried to play the positive person , but at many a time they have to go negative.  But a nice way to be negative : "I might like the other candidate they seem very nice , but if they were president they might cause (insert something bad here) ."  See an honest opinion but still kind of negative.
   Endorse me ,would you?   Let's say  there was a candidate let's him  Ed , he's running for President , and for now he's going through a primary in his party,  then there's a former president (ooh lucky) , named John (they don't have last names)  he is well loved by his party and voters in that party. That's great!  So maybe Ed thinks that if he got John's endorsement it would help in his party. It's like a famous person endorsing a credit card ( since when to famous people use credit cards?).  The company thinks "Hey, we  got this big celebrity endorsing our product will have millions getting our high interest card." Many times this works on some people. (Think Oprah endorsed stuff) So let's say Ed and John have a slight difference in a political issue  such as, Ed  thinks that yellow lights on traffic lights should be done away with , just read and green (Merry Christmas) , John thinks that  yellow should stay. Although this difference ( that would be a great hot-button issue)  could affect John giving Ed a much needed endorsement  they find a common  agreement : They both want traffic lights. Unlike the other candidate in the party running against John who thinks traffic lights need to go. ( Maybe he had to many tickets?)   In my what if campaign there's not much I would change on that.

The Delegate Counts as of Wednesday April 4th 2012

CHOICE 2012
Mitt Romney                                                                                                          648
Rick Santorum                                                                        264
Newt Gingrich                                                     137

Ron Paul                              71

The Delegate Count as of March 25th

CHOICE 2012
Mitt Romney                                                                                                    563
Rick Santorum                                                                     259
Newt Gingrich                                                     137

Ron Paul                              71

After the Louisiana win, Rick Santourm  adds 10 delegates , Romney did get 1. 

As of 25March 2012    

 To win 1,144 delegates is needed   Please note: these are estimates. 

The Delegate count as of March 21st 2012

CHOICE 2012
Mitt Romney                                                                                                    562
Rick Santorum                                                                     249
Newt Gingrich                                                     137

Ron Paul                              71

As of 20March 2012 

 To win 1,144 delegates is needed   Please note: these are estimates. 

The Delegate numbers update as of March 10th 2012

CHOICE 2012
Mitt Romney                                                                                                  458
Rick Santorum                                                                     203
Newt Gingrich                                                     118

Ron Paul                              66

As of 10March 2012 

The Delegate Count before Super Tuesday 2012

CHOICE 2012
Mitt Romney                                                                                                  207
Rick Santorum                                                               86
Ron Paul                              46

Newt Gingrich                             39


As of 4March 2012 

Ron Paul has moved up ,to 3rd.

The Great Predictor :Super Tuesday Edition

SUPER TUESDAY 

By Kathy Walker for mychiler

    The voters , of course always have a say in elections , and Media pundits are always trying make up  who they think they will win by thinking  how people will think when voting . I made predictions during the election (MI and Az Primaries ) that were right, just by guessing and not using polls and thinking on how people are thinking about thinking for who they will vote for. 

  Alaska , that big land mass in the north , west of Canada. I Think will go for Dr. Ron Paul (R-TX),The next state, Georgia , this is Newt Gingrich's home state , I think he will win since that's where he is from. Massachusetts, another Mitt Romney home state, so it should go for him, I know it wouldn't be Newt because he kept calling Mitt Romney a Massachusetts Liberal or Moderate. Oklahoma , the state, not the play, will go to Mitt Romney not Sanoturm ... I am going on a limb against the media pundits here. North Dakota  , I say will go for Santorum here. Idaho I think can also go to Ron Paul. Tennessee , I will say goes for RIck Santorum.  Vermont, is Mitt Romney's area , so I say it goes to him. Virginia is  a special case, since Santorum and Gingrich aren't on the ballot so I say it goes to Romney. I'll give the other big price, Ohio, to Romney. 

see you on Super Tuesday. 

Choice 2012: The Delegate count so far as of 2/29/12

CHOICE 2012
Mitt Romney                                                                                                  171
Rick Santorum                                      52
Newt Gingrich                             38 
Ron Paul                             27


changes:  Rick Santorum takes 2nd place from Newt Gingrich. 


related : The 2012 primary/Caucus calendar 

[LIVE BLOG] Arizona and Michigan Primaries

Choice 2012                                                  

     Arizona :  29 delegates (proportional) 

    Michigan : 30 delegates (proportional) 

   LIVE BLOG 

THE OP-ED heard and history around it [Opinion and Review]

Opinion | Guest Commentary
By Matthew K writing for Mychiller  
  In 2008 Mitt Romney wrote an op-ed for the New York Times ,  about the auto companies,the American auto-makers who were begging for a bail-out at the time.  This happened too: 
         From CNN : 

                Some lawmakers lashed out at the CEOs of the Big Three auto companies Wednesday for flying private jets to Washington to request taxpayer bailout money.

   That was Novemember 19th 2008 when that article came out. 
From the New York Times :

         The Senate on Thursday night abandoned efforts to fashion a government rescue of the American automobile industry, as Senate Republicans refused to support a bill endorsed by the White House and Congressional Democrats. 

That was December 11th 2008.
   From ABC NEWS , also on December 11th 2008.

               Even if TARP funds are made available to the Big Three, would that save the automakers from bankruptcy, or just delay it?

As yes what a good question  if  GM and Chrysler got the  TARP bail out, would that delay it ? T.A.R.P , if you forgot what it was , was the bank bailouts of 2008 under President Bush. It cost $787 billion dollars of Tax-payer money.

To Michigan , Arizona our prdictions and notes

Politics  Choice 2012 

By Skyler M and Kathy Walker 

   Here comes Michigan and Arizona's primaries... it's  big chance for the first big primaries since Florida, last month and the last until Super Tuesday, the week later. Mitt Romney , if he wants to become the media front runner again  he has to win both or just Michigan to get his momentum and status back. Former senator Rick Santorum , has been on a roll since he won , Missouri, Minnesota,and Colorado  he has been very covered in this month. Newt Gingrich , who is not leading well in these two states has been focused on Super Tuesday states that happen on March 6th. Ron Paul who hasn't won a state, unless you count Maine as fraudulent results that cheated him, he hasn't won a state. 

                                                                       February 28th                                                  

                                                                                 Primary       Arizona     29 Delegates at stake (Proportional)                                         

                                                                                                    Michigan   30 Delegates at stake (Proportional)           

 Michigan is considered a home state for Mr.Romney his father was governor there from 1963-1969 , and President of the now defunct American Motors Corporation.  But recent polls show it close or Romney leading by a couple points it wasn't like that before but it's like that now. Romney is leading in Arizona by 13 points .

     Kathy's Predictions : Michigan will go to Mitt Romney  but it won't be pretty ...Arizona will too a good night for him but  a squeaker non the less.  Second will be Santorum and 3rd wiil be Ron Paul . 

Skyler's Outlook:  No one will be quitting after  that's pretty much known but it's a moral boaster for anyone who wins these races. 

   Delegate count  as fof 2/25/12 

            ROMNEY                                                                                          127 

             Gingrich                                            38 

            Santorum                                          37

                Paul                                           27

[OPINION] Maybe the Republicans don't want to win

OPINION

  By Robert E writing for mychiller

 Poor Mitt Romney. He lost 2008 after really really wanting to win  he then  worked from 2009 to try again building up a money support and everything else. He was called a great conservative by many  Republican top people and everyone who was mad about John McCain losing 2008 election. To Mr. McCain's defense it wasn't his fault , now President Obama  had a stronger base and there was an anti-republican mood after President Bush.  Many conservatives are looking for one of their own to run this time, and Romney is not their own. 

     They beckoned to Mitt Daniels or Chris Christie (They are NOT going to RUN and I am not surprised).They then test tried the Michelle Bachmann  she ran great from the start, but like Newt Gingrich they found another, Rick Perry. He was the conservative dream until  some debates where he failed so all aboard the "Cain-Train" cost 9-9-9.  They went to Gingrich , and now Rick Santorum. They forget Ron Paul , who if anything is the only true conservative. True Conservatives who care about fiscal  issues don't want to go to war with everyone they don't like. But get back to what I am saying this shopping spree is not kind of showing me something... they don't want to win the White House. 

   NO, I am not trying to say they should go to Romney if they know what's best for them.  I am really saying that they don't wanna win the White House. Maybe they wanna keep the house and get the senate under the control. In 2016 , if Obama is a second term, it's an open-election and that would be best.  Is that their secret thought? They can't trust Mitt Romney , Newt Gingrich and  Rick Santourm scare people ( I am not a liberal if you are thinking I am) . Ron Paul is denounced by the conservatives because they think he's an isolationist, for note isolationism means you don't want to be bothered with rest of the world  at all. Dr. Paul is a non-interventionist , he  wants to trade with other countries but not blow them up because they gave you a fun look. 

The Maine Caucuses and Stat Borad

Maine Delegates       24 total: 21 caucus -related , 3 unpleged 


[update  6:26PMET] 
MItt Romney wins Maine 
 Mitt Romney  2,190                                                 39%
Ron Paul 1,996                                                       36%  
 Rick Santorum 989                        18%
 Newt Gingrich 349       6


UP NEXT 
Arizona, Michigan February 28th   
[the full calendar ->>> }

THE Gop change over [Opinion]

Opinion 
  By Carl Johnson for mychiller
   Former Penn. Senator Rick Santorum won in 3 states last night , now the news media has made the story more about Romney not winning , but I am going to take this my way.  Newt Gingrich lost more  this is something , the fight has been who has more clout to beat Mitt Romney in the GOP.  Mr. Gingrich has been saying it was him , who could do it and debate the current president, he used every debate for his advance. (OK, not the last two Florida debates). The question for Newt is , he really the person people want to be  a nominee or the president? "Likability polls" show that Newt is not well liked by a lot of people ,Mitt Romney is not liked by conservatives , but  is liked by moderates (kind of) , Ron Paul is the only other candidate with a high favorable number.
   Newt Gingrich , I know his campaign was considered dead 3 times already,but when he gets ahead  he screws up (pardon my ways) , and with that he can say will run through August , but he doesn't have the power too  if he doesn't win alot.  He will be going to Tampa ... for  a visit to the convention but not to cause trouble ... if he cares about his party and no matter who wins his party's nomination.
   I do think there maybe one more Mr.Gingrich surge  it depends on how he acts for how it to go. Mitt Romney also needs to humanize himself and try to be himself . Play offense with his rivals not defense .

Colorado, Minnesota Caucus and Missouri Primary.

Update by Kathy Walker of mychiller [10:33pm ET]
 Rick Santourum wins Missouri, and MIssouri

Choice 2012 the Delegates  as of 2/6/2012  

                                                    99

                            33

           15

         11

source: CNN

Delegates at stake by state tonight. 

COLORADO  36   Minnesota   40    Missouri 52

all states are proportional 

These are non-binding races for now. But means something anyway.